Market-View-Feature-Image

View on market: Volatility Prevails, Market is searching for better value

The latest remarks from a Federal Reserve member, which indicated to additional rate hikes to manage inflation, have dampened Wall Street euphoria as Asian stocks prepare for a mixed morning after US shares recovered from their worst week since March. Australian and Japanese equities futures rose, but Hong Kong contracts decreased. West Texas Intermediate was trading above the $80 line while Brent crude was at $85.34 a barrel. The yield on a 10-year US bond was 4.09%, and the price of Bitcoin was below the 30,000 mark. The GIFT Nifty, an early predictor of the performance of the Nifty 50 Index in India, was trading at 19,783 at 5:08 in the morning.

Economic Calendar:

  • USD : CPI (MoM) (Jul) on 10th Aug, 2023
  • USD : Initial Jobless Claims on 10th Aug, 2023
  • INR : Interest Rate Decision on 10th Aug, 2023
  • INR : Reverse REPO Rate on 10th Aug, 2023

Brokerage Radar:

CLSA ON BHEL: Sell, TP Raised to Rs 78; Order backlog grew 2% YoY, despite a Vande Bharat train order worth $1.7bn, as thermal orders were delayed; Operationally, another weak qtr in 1Q with expanding Ebitda/PAT losses on weak execution driven by non-moving orders

MS ON BOB: OW, TP cut to Rs 235; PAT 19% below est. (lower core PPoP, higher credit costs) RoA 1.1% vs. 1.3% in 4QF23; NIM challenges remain– expect funding costs to rise further; BoB needs to increase passthrough, particularly on corp loans; Prefer large prvt. bks

NOMURA ON MGL: Buy, TP Rs 1250; Robust Q1 driven by record margins; vol in-line; CNG additions picking up pace; vol growth guidance of 5-6% reiterated; Raise FY24F EBITDA by 10% & trim FY25F EPS by 2% on 1)higher unit EBITDA for FY24F of Rs11/scm 2) 2% lower vols for both FY24-25F

International Markets

U.S & Europe:

Particulars 07th August Chg. Chg.(%)
Nasdaq 13994.40 85.16 0.61
Dow 35473.13 407.51 1.16
FTSE 7554.49 -9.88 -0.13
CAC 7319.76 4.69 0.06
DAX 15950.76 -1.10 -0.01
Dow Fut.* 35431.60 -41.50 -0.12

Asian markets:

Particulars 08th August Chg. Chg.(%)
GIFT Nifty 19645.00 -36.50 -0.19
Nikkei 32358.10 103.54 0.32
Straits Times 3310.06 0.19 0.01
Hang Seng 19307.16 -230.76 -1.18
Shanghai 3266.29 -2.54 -0.08

ADR Watch:

Particulars    07th August  Chg.       Chg.(%)
Dr. Reddy 69.13 -0.04 -0.06
HDFC Bank 66.96 0.13 0.19
ICICI Bank 23.77 0.22 0.93
Infosys 16.78 0.07 0.42
Wipro 4.94 0.04 0.82

Commodities & Currency:

Particulars Current Price Chg.(%)
USD/INR 82.81 -0.03
Brent 85.57 0.27
Gold 1968.90 -0.06
Silver 23.230 -0.01

FIIs & DIIs:

Particulars   07th August 04th August
FIIs                          -1892.77 -556.32
DIIs 1080.80 366.61

News Update:

Adani Green Energy: Qatar Sovereign Wealth arm, INQ Holding bought 2.7% stake in a bulk deal. Infinite Trade and Investment, a promoter entity, sold 4.48 crore shares (2.8%) at Rs 920.43 apiece.

BEML: The company secured a letter of acceptance from Bangalore Metro Rail Corporation for supply of rolling stock contract 5RS-DM valued at Rs 3,177 crore.

One 97 Communications: PWC India resigned as auditor of Paytm Payments Services. The resignation follows an Aug. 2 letter by One 97 Communications which cited change in auditor at holding company level. Keeping in mind the company’s practice of aligning auditor of holding company with material subsidiary, PWC submitted its resignation.

Lloyds Metal and Energy: An accident occurred within the company’s mines in the Gadchiroli district of Maharashtra on Sunday. This accident was caused due to the overturn of a Dumper on a Camper, operated and owned by the MDO, resulting in the loss of three lives and two injuries.

RailTel Corporation of India: The company has received the work order from Pimpri Chinchwad Smart City for providing end-to-end services for monetisation of PCSCL city network infrastructure on revenue sharing model. The estimated annual revenue from the contract is Rs 70 crore and the total revenue for 10 years is Rs 700 crore.

MMTC: Securities and Exchange Board of India has cancelled the registration of the company as a stockbroker for its involvement in an illegal “paired contract” in the case pertained to the defunct National Spot Exchange Ltd.

Gravita India: The company announced that ‘pure lead’ of 99.98 % purity and above produced by the company from its Phagi, Jaipur plant has been empaneled as approved ‘Lead Brands’ deliverable against MCX lead futures contract.

Welspun Specialty Solutions: The company has received orders for aggregative amount of Rs 37 crore for supply of stainless steel bars from a domestic customer, unrelated party. The said order is expected to be executed by the end of October 2023.

Privi Speciality Chemicals: The company has invested the second tranche of Rs 3.64 crore by subscribing to 36.46 lakh equity shares of Rs 10 each equivalent to approximately 26% of the issued and paid-up capital of the Special Purpose Vehicle – Radiance MH Sunrise Ten.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing 

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

  1. Reports
  2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

  1. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.