Market-View-Feature-Image

View on market: Stay Cautious, be with quality business:

Asian markets opened on a cautious note Tuesday following another selloff in US stocks, soaring bond yields and volatile currency markets as investors brace for a heightened risk of global recession. Shares edged higher in Japan and Australia after three days of losses in those two markets while equity futures pointed to a decline in Hong Kong. US contracts made small gains after the S&P 500 closed above since June. At 6:40 am, the Singapore-traded SGX Nifty–an early barometer of India’s benchmark Nifty 50–fell 0.3% to 16,971.5 points. Bonds remained under pressure in Australia and Japan while benchmark 10-year Treasury yield held near 3.9%–a level last seen in 2010. The dollar gauge inched back from a record high Monday, when Federal Reserve officials repeated hawkish comments on policy. Asian currencies including the yen and yuan strengthened slightly while staying around levels that have caused concern from authorities in both countries. The Indian rupee, meanwhile, has plumbed to record lows.

Economic Calendar:

  • USD : Fed Chair Powell Speaks on 27th September, 2022
  • USD : New Home Sales (Aug) on 27th September, 2022
  • INR : Interest Rate Decision on 30th September, 2022
  • INR : RBI MPC Meeting Minutes on 30th September, 2022

Brokerage Radar:

MS ON SBI CARDS: OW, TP Rs.1100; Monthly spending in Aug for industry down 3% MoM/45% YoY; For SBIC, up 1.2% MoM/35% YoY; Regained some market share after 5 mths of decline; Daily spending data from RBI suggests sustained strength in spending into Sept

CITI ON POWER GRID: BUY, TP Rs.270; Ministry of Power Rejects Proposal For REC Purchase; Big Overhang Removed; Maintain buy due to its safe & stable biz model, high RoEs, high market share in transmission biz & reasonable val; NTPC followed by PGCIL is top-pick

JPM ON AMAR RAJA BATTERY: NEUTRAL, TP Rs.565; Proposed integration of plastics biz from promoter owned entity; Slight +ve for margins; Management guided to 75-100bps of EBITDA margin synergy & 2% EPS accretion; Promoter stake to increase to 32.86% (from 28.06%)

International Markets:

U.S & Europe:

Particulars 26thSeptember Chg. Chg.(%)
Nasdaq 10802.92 -65.01 -0.60
Dow 29260.81 -329.60 -1.11
FTSE 7020.95 2.35 0.03
CAC 5769.39 -14.02 -0.24
DAX 12227.92 -56.27 -0.46
Dow Fut.* 29421.50 160.70 0.55

Asian markets:

Particulars 27thSeptember Chg. Chg.(%)
SGX Nifty 17078.50 57.50 0.34
Nikkei 26651.60 220.05 0.83
Straits Times 3165.55 -16.42 -0.52
Hang Seng 17685.20 -169.94 -0.95
Shanghai 3051.80 0.57 0.02

ADR Watch:

Particulars 26th September  Chg. Chg.(%)
Dr. Reddy 50.65 -0.67 -1.31
HDFC Bank 58.44 -0.53 -0.90
ICICI Bank 21.06 -0.43 -2.00
Infosys 16.69 0.08 0.48
Tata Motor 24.28 -1.19 -4.67
Wipro 4.79 0.01 0.21

Commodities & Currency:

Particulars Current Price Chg.(%)
USD/INR 81.62 0.79
Brent 83.17 0.37
Gold 1636.50 0.19
Silver 18.425 -0.30

FIIs & DIIs:

Particulars 26th September 23rd September
FIIs -5101.30 -2899.68
DIIs 3532.18 299.10

News Update:

Jubilant FoodWorks: Completed the acquisition of 29.42% stake in Roadcast Tech Solutions as per a July agreement. It will will acquire an additional 10.58% stake in Roadcast Tech by Oct. 26.

Mahindra Logistics: Agreed to acquire Rivigo’s B2B express cargo service unit on a slump-sale basis, in a deal valued at Rs 225 crore.

Jyoti Structures: The company has secured a Rs 237-crore contract from Sterlite Power Transmission for turnkey supply and construction of 400 kV and 220 kV double-circuit transmission lines in Goa and Karnataka. These will be commissioned in a phased manner by December 2023 and July 2024.

JSW Energy: India Ratings has upgraded the company’s long-term facilities to ‘IND AA/Stable’ from ‘IND AA-/Stable’.

Amara Raja Batteries: Approved demerger of plastic component for battery business from Mangal Industries Ltd. to Amara Raja. MIL shareholders will receive 65 shares of Amara Raja for every 74 shares held.

Filatex India: Commissioned a project for debottlenecking melt capacity of 50 million tonnes per day and manufacturing lines of 120 million tonnes per day at its Dahej plant.

Embassy REIT: Blackstone seeks to raise up to Rs 2,650 crore ($325 million) by selling 7.7 crore shares at Rs 345 apiece.

BSE: The stock exchange has received SEBI’s approval to launch an electronic gold receipt segment on its platform. Delta Corp/Nazara Tech: The Tamil Nadu cabinet has approved an ordinance that bans online gaming in the state.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.
For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)
Disclosure Appendix
Analyst Certification (For Reports)
Israil Khan, Elite Wealth Limited, suhail@elitewealth.in
The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.
As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:
(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and
(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.
For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.
Research Excerpts
This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.
Company-Specific Disclosures
Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or emailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.
Options related research:
If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in
Other Disclosures
All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.
Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure
Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.
Country Specific Disclosures
India – For private circulation only, not for sale.
Legal Entities Disclosures
Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone:011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in
EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:
1. Reports
a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;
(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;
(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;
2. Compensation
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;
(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(d) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report.
3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL