Result-Analysis-Elite-Wealth

HDFC Bank Ltd. is India’s leading private bank with banking network of 7,945 branches and 20,596 ATMs in 3,836 cities/towns. It offers a wide range of commercial and transactional banking services and treasury products to wholesale and retail customers. The bank has three key business segments: Wholesale Banking Services, Retail Banking Services and Treasury. The services offered by the bank include Personal Accounts & Deposits, Loans, Cards, Forex, Investments and Insurance.

Result Analysis: HDFC bank (CMP: Rs.1529.50) Result Update: Q2FY24
Stock Details
Market Cap. (Cr.) 1159638.75
Equity (Cr.) 758.18
Face Value 1
52 Wk. high/low 1758 / 1427
BSE Code 500180
NSE Code HDFCBANK
Book Value (Rs) 552.54
Sector Banks

 

Key Ratios
ROE (%): 17.20
TTM EPS: 71.85
P/BV: 2.77
TTM P/E: 21.29

result-analysis-elite-wealth

Result Highlights:

  • HDFC bank reported a healthy first quarter with consistent operating profit and strong business growth. Bank’s PAT grew by 50.6% YoY to Rs.15,976 cr. on the back of lower provisioning while the Interest income grew hugely by 75.4% YoY to Rs.67,698 cr.
  • On a standalone basis, Net Interest Income grew by 30.3% YoY to Rs.27,385 cr. while Net Interest Margin declined to 3.4% due to ICRR and excess liquidity in the economy.
  • On Pro-forma basis, Gross advances grew by 1.08 lakh cr. in the quarter to Rs.21,72,858 cr., an increase of 4.9% QoQ. This growth was led by CRB (9.7% QoQ) & retail (3.1% QoQ), while wholesale grew by 5.8% QoQ.
  • On yearly basis, Domestic retail loans grew by 20%, commercial and rural banking loans grew by 29.1% and corporate and other wholesale loans grew by 11.2%. Overseas advances constituted 2.6% of total advances.
  • Asset quality of the bank has improved on the pro-forma basis with Gross NPA at 1.3% Vs 1.4% QoQ and Net NPA ratio at 0.3% Vs 0.4% QoQ. Among GNPA segment, retail and commercial & rural banking (ex-agri) improved while commercial & rural banking and wholesale segment grew slightly.
  • On Pro-forma basis, CASA ratio declined by 170 bps to 37.6% in Q2FY24 vs 39.4% in Q1FY24 mainly due to higher interest rates on fixed deposits. The cost to income ratio of the bank also improved significantly from 42.8% to 40.4%.
  • HDB Financial Services, subsidiary of HDFC Bank reported robust growth of 43% YoY in disbursements across segments.
  • Bank has added 85 new branches in the quarter and also added 6 mn customers to its customer’s base making it to 91 mn.

Conference Call Highlights:

  • The business momentum has continued to gain pace in the merger quarter with disbursements reaching new high of Rs.480 bn.; ~83-85% of deposits were retail. Change in mix toward more on retail will lead to better margins going forward.
  • The cost to income ratio improved to 40.4% as a merged entity riding on HDFC’s low numbers, management aim to get it to mid-30s as part of a long term vision.
  • NIMs are impacted by 25bp due to excess liquidity & impact of incremental CRR.
  • RoE/RoA stood at 16.2%/2% in 2QFY24 and are expected to improve going forward. The bank aims for ROA of 1.9%-2.1% by end of FY24.
  • Management would continue to focus on digital and technology front, PayZapp 2.0 app has currently 3mn users and handles 0.25mn transactions per day. AI driven channel platform, WhatsApp and chat banking are working smoothly.

 

Outlook:

HDFC Bank, world’s fourth largest bank reported above market estimates results in the Q2FY24 with 50.6% YoY growth in the Net profits, supported by lower provisioning and lower tax rate in the quarter. After merger, mortgages account for 60% of the retail loan book which would benefit the bank with steady stream of income and risk minimization over the long term. Impressive asset management of the bank is evident through its strong asset quality which were above estimates. Bank’s NIM reached to the low of 3.4% and is expected to improve in the coming quarters on behalf of removal of ICRR. The current P/B ratio stands at 2.77 which is significantly below of 1-yr and 3-yr median P/B of 3.3 and 3.56 respectively. Hence, we remain long on the stock with target price of Rs.1760 for period of 12 months.

Results:

Particulars (In Rs. Cr.) Q2FY24 Q1FY24 Q2FY23 QoQ% YoY% H1FY24 H1FY23 YoY%
Interest Earned 67,698 48,587 38,586 39.3% 75.4% 1,16,285 73,758 57.7%
Interest Expended 40,313 24,988 17,565 61.3% 129.5% 65,301 33,256 96.4%
Net Interest Income 27,385 23,599 21,021 16.0% 30.3% 50,984 40,503 25.9%
Operating Profit 22,694 18,772 17,392 20.9% 30.5% 41,466 32,760 26.6%
Provisions 2,904 2,860 3,240 1.5% -10.4% 5,764 6,428 -10.3%
Tax 3,814 3,960 3,546 -3.7% 7.5% 7,774 6,530 19.0%
Net Profit after tax 15,976 11,952 10,606 33.7% 50.6% 27,928 19,802 41.0%
Deposits 21,72,858 19,13,096 16,73,408 13.6% 29.8% 21,72,858 16,73,408 29.8%
Advances 23,31,233 16,15,672 14,79,873 44.3% 57.5% 23,31,233 14,79,873 57.5%

 

Ratios (%) Q2FY24 Q1FY24 Q2FY23 QoQ YoY
Gross NPA 1.34 1.17 1.23 17 bps 11 bps
Net NPA 0.35 0.30 0.33 5 bps 2 bps
Net Interest Margin 3.40 4.10 4.10 -70 bps -70 bps
Capital Adequacy Ratio 19.5 18.9 18.0 60 bps 146 bps
CASA Ratio 37.6 42.5 45.4 -490 bps -780 bps

 

Source: Company website, EWL Research

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

  1. Reports
  2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

  1. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulation