Market-View-Feature-Image

View on market: Volatility Prevails, Market is searching for better value

As investors began the final trading day of 2023 on Friday, the majority of markets in the Asia-Pacific area saw gains. As investors’ appetite for risk was diminished by a reduction in iron ore futures prices, markets in Japan and Australia saw a decline in their share indices. According to data released by the U.S. Labor Department, the number of individuals who applied for state unemployment benefits rose by 12,000 to 218,000 during the week ending December 23, up from an upwardly revised 205,000 during the week before. As of Thursday, the Nasdaq 100 fell 0.05% and the S&P 500 index increased by 0.04%. 0.14% more was added to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. At $78.39 per barrel, Brent crude was down 1.58% on the market. Gold was trading at $2,066.46, up 0.04%.

Economic Calendar:

  • USD : Manufacturing PMI (Dec) on 02nd January, 2024
  • USD : JOLTs Job Openings (Nov) on 03rd January, 2024
  • INR : FX Reserves, USD on 29th December, 2023
  • INR  : RBI Monetary and Credit Information Review on 29th December, 2023

Brokerage Radar:

MOSL ON GAIL: Buy Call, Target Rs 195; Re-rating On Cards Driven By A Sharp Improvement In RoE & FCF; Core Earnings Strong; Earnings Visibility Higher As Transmission Contribution Improves; Improving Demand, Lower Capacity Additions To Drive Petchem Turnaround; Expect ROE to improve to 15% in FY26 from 9.5% in FY23

Expect healthy FCF Generation Of Rs 4,560 Cr In FY26 Vs Rs 4,530 Cr In FY23

MS ON BANKS: CET-1 ratio for SBI is one of lowest & additional requirement is incrementally negative but manageable (given it is applicable from April-2025); HDFC Bank’s CET-1 ratio remains healthy, at 16.4%, & therefore, impact is immaterial

International Markets:

U.S & Europe:

Particulars 28th December Chg. Chg.(%)
Nasdaq 15077.40 2.83 0.02
Dow 37710.10 53.58 0.14
FTSE 7722.74 -2.21 -0.03
CAC 7535.16 -36.66 -0.48
DAX 16701.55 -40.52 -0.24
Dow Fut.* 37752.92 42.82 0.11

Asian markets:

Particulars 29th  December Chg. Chg.(%)
GIFT Nifty 21964.00 185.50 0.85
Nikkei 33539.62 -141.62 -0.42
Straits Times 3215.95 45.19 1.41
Hang Seng 17043.53 418.69 2.46
Shanghai 2954.70 40.09 1.36

ADR Watch:

Particulars 28th December  Chg.       Chg.(%)
Dr. Reddy 69.78 1.61 2.36
HDFC Bank 67.23 0.19 0.28
ICICI Bank 24.23 0.20 0.85
Infosys 18.56 -0.04 -0.22
Wipro 5.58 0.01 0.09

Commodities & Currency:

Particulars Current Price Chg.(%)
USD/INR 83.15 -0.06
Brent 77.48 0.43
Gold 2077.90 -0.27
Silver 24.07 -1.23

FIIs & DIIs:

Particulars 28th December 27th December
FIIs                          4358.99 2926.05
DIIs 136.64 -192.01

News Update:

Punjab National Bank: The bank approved raising up to Rs 7,500 crore in one or more tranches during the next financial year.

Swan Energy: The company approved raising Rs 4,000 crore via multiple instruments.

RBL Bank: ICICI Prudential AMC and ICICI Prudential Life received RBI’s nod to acquire aggregate holdings of up to 9.95% in the two lenders.

Federal Bank, Equitas Small Finance Bank: The RBI approved ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company to acquire up to a 9.95% stake in the company.

Oil Marketing Companies: As per reports, state-run OMCs are likely to announce cuts in petrol and diesel prices.

ICICI Lombard General Insurance: The company received a Rs 1,728 crore demand from the GST Authority and a penalty of Rs 172 crore for the period July 2017 to March 2022. The company said it will file an appeal.

Thermax: The company has completed the transfer of lease hold rights to a vacant plot situated at MIDC Industrial Area Chinchwad, Pune, measuring 57482 sq. metres, for a consideration of Rs 135.66 crore.

Tata Coffee, Tata Consumer Products: The scheme of arrangement between Tata Coffee, Tata Consumer Products, and its wholly-owned subsidiary, TCPL Beverages and Foods, will be effective from Jan. 1, 2024. The scheme involves the demerger of Tata Coffee’s plantation business into TCPL Beverages & Foods and the merger of the remaining business with Tata Consumer Products.

D B Realty: The company approved providing a corporate guarantee of Rs 45 crore to Capri Global Capital in respect of the term loan facility granted by Capri Global Capital to the company’s subsidiary, Esteem Properties.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail: The company raised its stake in unit Finesse International Design to 63.5% from 58.7% for Rs 20 crore.

Info Edge India: The company will invest Rs 25 crore in Zwayam Digital, a wholly owned subsidiary.  

The Ramco Cements: The company has approved to acquire the shares of its arm, Ramco Industries, from Promoter Group Nalina Ramalakshmi for Rs 16 crore in one or more tranches.

UPL: The company incorporated a new subsidiary in Saudi Arabia for its chemical manufacturing business.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing 

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

  1. Reports
  2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

  1. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.