Market View 17th May, 2024

View on market: Volatility Prevails, Market is searching for better value

Asia:Early on Friday, the immediate response to weaker US inflation statistics dissipated, and traders withdrew bets that the Federal Reserve would slash interest rates. This caused the Pacific markets to lose their gains. It would likely take longer for inflation to achieve the target 2%, according to statements made on Thursday at separate appearances by Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, New York Fed President John Williams, and Cleaveland Fed President Loretta Mester. The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke through the historic 40,000 barrier early on Thursday, continuing an upward trend driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will be able to lower interest rates this year. As of Thursday, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 Index were down 0.26% and 0.21%, respectively. The decline in the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 0.10%.

Economic Calendar:

• USD : Fed Chair Powell Speaks on 20^th May, 2024
• USD : Existing Home Sales (Apr) on 22^nd May, 2024
• INR : FX Reserves, USD on 17^th May, 2024
• INR : Nikkei Services PMI on 23^rd May, 2024

Brokerage Radar:

JEFFERIES ON HINDALCO: Buy, TP raised to Rs 810; Novelis’ 4Q EBITDA rose 28% YoY(+13% QoQ) & inline; Vol grew 2% YoY while EBITDA/t rose 8% QoQ to $540, Raise FY25-26E EPS by 2-3%; Vals reasonable at 6.1x FY25E EV/EBITDA

CITI ON MARICO: Buy, TP raised to Rs 610; 4Q In-line; Pricing Action to Drive Growth Expect trajectory to improve in FY25E:

a)vol growth acceleration

b)pricing-led growth

NOMURA ON LUPIN: Buy, TP Rs 1949; 4Q: EBITDA 8% higher than est. Co expects stronger FY25 (vs FY24) driven by growth across key geographies & improvement in EBITDA margins; Think US product launches & a tight leash on costs could present upside potential to current earnings est.

International Markets:

U.S & Europe:

Asian markets:

ADR Watch:

Commodities & Currency:

FIIs & DIIs:

News Update:

Infosys: The company signs a pact with Telstra for AI-led engineering transformation.

Indoco Remedies: The USFDA successfully completed the inspection of its API Kilo Lab manufacturing facility at Rabale, Navi Mumbai, and Indoco Analytical Solutions division and concluded with zero Form 483 observations.

TVS Supply Chain Solutions: The company partnered with Manchester Metropolitan to lead AI innovation.

GE Power India: The company received a purchase order worth Rs 20 crore from Torrent Power for the repair and service of a steam turbine.

Vedanta: The board approved raising up to Rs 8,500 crore via equity and approved the investment in Vedanta Copper International for setting up a copper rod plant in Saudi Arabia.

Sanghvi Movers: The board approved splitting each share into two.

GMR Airports Infrastructure: The company recorded total passenger traffic at Rs 1.04 crore, up 7% YoY for the month of April and total aircraft movements at 67,267, up 4% YoY.

Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers: The company received 16.5 million orders from the People’s Republic of Bangladesh for the procurement of 01 No. Trailing Suction Hopper Dredger with spare parts.

Gail: The company entered into a 14-year charter with CoolCo for an LNG carrier to commence in early 2025. The company has the option to extend the charter by 2 years beyond the 14-year period.

Dixon Technology: The company signed an MoU with Acerpure for the manufacturing of consumer appliance products.

IDBI Bank: RBI has approved the appointment of Pradeep Natarajan as Whole-Time Director, designated as Executive Director for 3 years.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing 

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

1. Reports
2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

2. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing 

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

1. Reports
2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

2. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.