View on market: Stay Cautious, be with quality business:
Asian markets were poised to climb on Monday after a chaotic week for financial markets ended Friday with a rebound in U.S. regional banks and a rally in risk assets. Solid jobs data has tempered fears of a U.S. recession, improving sentiment that saw treasuries fall and Wall Street’s favorite volatility gauge, the VIX, snap a four-day surge. Equity futures pointed to gains of slightly less than 1% in Hong Kong and Australia. Contracts for Japan were marginally lower as traders there return from national holidays. The advance on Wall Street on Friday halted the S&P 500’s longest losing streak since February, with the gauge climbing 1.9%. The KBW Bank Index of financial heavyweights rebounded from its lowest since September 2020. The Nasdaq 100 rose 2.1%, with strong earnings at Apple Inc helping lift the megacap tech space as the world’s most-valuable company climbed almost 5%. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year treasuries in U.S. was trading at 3.44%. Crude prices were trading above $75-mark, while Bitcoin declined below 29,000-level. At 05:44 a.m., the Singapore-traded SGX Nifty, an early indicator of the Nifty 50 Index’s performance in India, was down 0.30% at 18,178.5. Domestic benchmark indices—BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty 50—crashed after a stellar run to close at their lowest level in seven weeks, dragged lower by the HDFC twins.
Economic Calendar:
- USD : CPI (MoM) (Apr) on 10th May, 2023
- USD : PPI (MoM) (Apr) on 11th May, 2023
- INR : CPI (YoY) (Apr) on 12th May, 2023
- INR : Industrial Production (YoY) (Mar) on 12th May, 2023
UPL, Canara Bank, Indian Bank, Kalpataru Power Transmission, Apar Industries, Pidilite Industries, CG Power and Industrial Solutions, Kansai Nerolac Paints, Aarti Industries, Mahanagar Gas, Birlasoft, Carborundum Universal, Craftsman Automation, VIP Industries, Happiest Minds Technologies, Apollo Pipes, Andhra Paper, Avadh Sugar & Energy, Exide Industries, HFCL, IndInfravit Trust, IRB InvIT Fund,
Brokerage Radar:
GS ON ONE 97 COM (PAYTM): Buy, TP Rs 1150; 4Q in line: 2nd consecutive qtr. of profitability; improving credit metrics an additional +ve; Expect co to become most profitable within India Internet coverage starting FY25E; Resolution of outstanding regulatory issues next catalysts
NOMURA ON BHARAT FORGE: Upgrade to buy, TP Rs 929; Est. incremental revenue of Rs 15bn by FY25F from guns & 20%+ margins on this as IPRs are owned by BHFC; Also maintain view that India MHCVs will continue to grow (+10% /+5%) over next 2 years given view on CV demand
MS ON BRITANNIA: OW, TP Raised to Rs 5184; 4Q strong & management sound +ve on growth outlook; Believe co is leading charge on driving distribution, innovation & premiumisation (DIP) led growth in its biscuit and non-biscuit businesses
International Markets
U.S & Europe:
Particulars | 05th May | Chg. | Chg.(%) |
Nasdaq | 12235.41 | 269.01 | 2.25 |
Dow | 33674.38 | 546.64 | 1.65 |
FTSE | 7778.38 | 75.74 | 0.97 |
CAC | 7432.93 | 92.16 | 1.24 |
DAX | 15961.02 | 226.78 | 1.42 |
Dow Fut.* | 33666.50 | -7.90 | -0.02 |
Asian markets
Particulars | 08th May | Chg. | Chg.(%) |
SGX Nifty | 18159.00 | 35.00 | 0.19 |
Nikkei | 28969.68 | -188.27 | -0.65 |
Straits Times | 3263.00 | -3.63 | -0.11 |
Hang Seng | 20178.68 | 129.37 | 0.65 |
Shanghai | 3381.82 | 47.32 | 1.40 |
ADR Watch:
Particulars | 05th May | Chg. | Chg.(%) |
Dr. Reddy | 60.78 | -0.16 | -0.26 |
HDFC Bank | 22.95 | 1.50 | -2.19 |
ICICI Bank | 22.95 | 0.50 | 2.23 |
Infosys | 15.25 | -0.05 | -0.33 |
Wipro | 4.63 | -0.01 | -0.22 |
Commodities & Currency
Particulars | Current Price | Chg.(%) |
USD/INR | 81.74 | 0.01 |
Brent | 75.44 | 0.19 |
Gold | 2027.65 | 0.14 |
Silver | 25.927 | -0.01 |
FIIs & DIIs:
Particulars | 05th May | 04th May |
FIIs | 777.68 | 1414.73 |
DIIs | -2198.77 | 441.56 |
News Update:
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail: The company has signed a definitive agreement to acquire 51% stake in TCNS Clothing for Rs 1,650 crore. The company will acquire between 22% to 30.81% stake from TCNS promoters and up to 29% stake through open offer at Rs 503 per share.
TCNS Clothing: The company entered into definitive agreements for combining with ABFRL, part of the Aditya Birla group. As a part of the deal, ABFRL will hold 51% stake in TCNS Clothing for Rs 1,650 crore. Under the merger public shareholders of TCNS (as on effective date) will receive 11 shares of ABFRL for every 6 shares that they hold in TCNS.
SJVN: The company’s subsidiary SJVN Green Energy bagged a 100 MW connected wind power plant project from Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam to be set up anywhere in India at approximately Rs.800 crore. The company also won a contract from Rajasthan Urja Vikas Nigam to set up a 100 MW solar power project at a cost of Rs 600 crore.
Lupin: The company will acquire entire share capital of French pharmaceutical company Medisol for €18 million (Rs 161.89 crore). This consideration includes upfront payment of €14.5 million (Rs 130.41 crore) and earn-outs up to €3.5 million (Rs 31.48 crore).
Bharat Forge: The board approved the appointment of Kedar Dixit as chief financial officer, with effect from July 1, 2023, after Kishore Saletore resigned from the position, effective June 30, 2023.
Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing
Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014
Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.
For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)
Disclosure Appendix
Analyst Certification (For Reports)
Israil Khan, Elite Wealth Limited, suhail@elitewealth.in
The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.
As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:
(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and
(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.
For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.
Research Excerpts
This note may include excerpts from pMarket View 13th April 2023reviously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.
Company-Specific Disclosures
Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or emailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.
Options related research:
If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in
Other Disclosures
All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.
Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure
Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.
Country Specific Disclosures
India – For private circulation only, not for sale.
Legal Entities Disclosures
Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone:011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in
EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:
1. Reports
a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;
(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;
(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;
2. Compensation
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;
(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(d) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report.
3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL