Market View 4th July 2023

View on market: Volatility Prevails, Market is searching for better value

Stock futures suggest small declines in Asia on Tuesday after equities on Wall Street scratched out marginal gains ahead of the Independence Day holiday. Contracts for benchmarks in Japan, Hong Kong and Australia all slid 0.3% or less, following an advance of just 0.1% for the S&P 500 in a shortened session that ended at lunchtime. The Nasdaq 100 added 0.2% on a day that brought data showing a slowdown in manufacturing. U.S. equity futures were marginally lower in Asian trading while currencies steadied. Meanwhile, Brent crude was trading below $75 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate was steady at $70-mark. The yield on the 10-year U.S. bond was trading at 3.85%, whereas Bitcoin was above 31,000-level. At 5:42 a.m., the GIFT Nifty, an early indicator of the Nifty 50 Index’s performance in India was down 0.03% or 7 points at 19,440.

Economic Calendar:

• USD : Initial Jobless Claims on 06th July, 2023
• USD : JOLTs Job Openings (May) on 06th July, 2023
• INR : Nikkei Services PMI (Jun) on 05th July, 2023
• INR : FX Reserves, USD on 07th July, 2023

Brokerage Radar:

MS ON APOLLO TYRES: Downgrade to EW, TP raised to Rs 425; Commodity cycle & competitive intensity are benign; In FY24, expect co to post EBITDA margin of 15.7% & RoCE of around 11%; With FY25 RoE at 12.3% & P/B at 1.7x, risk-reward balanced

CITI ON ULTRATECH CEMENT: Buy, TP Rs 9,050; Reported 20% yoy growth in grey cement sales vol in 1QFY24 (capacity utilization at 90%), likely driven by strong industry demand + new capacities commissioned over past yr; While demand strong, prices largely rangebound

CLSA ON TATA COM: Buy, TP Rs 1755; Kaleyra acquisition will boost co’s CPaaS offering; Kaleyra is a CPaaS provider with proprietary platforms & revenue of $339m of which 54% is from US market; Deal attractively valued at 0.75x vs TCom’s own valuation 2.5x EV/Sales

International Markets

U.S & Europe:

Asian markets

ADR Watch:

Commodities & Currency

FIIs & DIIs:

News Update:

Adani Transmission: GQG Partners bought an additional 3% stake worth Rs 2,633 crore in Adani Transmission. Its shareholding in the company increased to 6.54% from 3.54% earlier. The securities were acquired through the stock exchange settlement process by way of a bulk deal.

Adani Green Energy: The board will consider approving fundraising via issue of equity shares or any other mode including private placement, QIP and preferential issues on July 6. Adani Green Energy had cancelled the meeting in May on account of non-availability of directors.

IDFC, IDFC First Bank: IDFC is set to merge with IDFC First Bank. Shareholders will receive 155 IDFC First Bank shares for every 100 IDFC shares held. Due to the merger, the standalone book value per share of the bank would increase by 4.9%, as calculated on the March 31 financials. The merger stands in favour of the IDFC shareholders by over 16% as per the last closing price of both companies.

IndusInd Bank: IndusInd Bank promoter IndusInd International Holdings Ltd. approved a fundraise of $1.5 billion. These funds are to be used to fund Reliance Capital’s Rs 9,650 crore buyout. IIHL also agreed to raise its stake in IndusInd Bank from 15% to 26%.

Reliance Industries: Reliance Jio launched an internet-enabled phone at Rs 999. The beta trial for the first 1 million Jio Bharat phones will begin on July 7. It includes unlimited voice calls and 14 GB of data for Rs. 123 per month. Other phone brands, including Karbonn, will adopt the Jio Bharat platform to build Jio Bharat phones.

Oil India: The company revised the project capital cost of the Numaligarh Refinery to Rs 7,231 crore from Rs 6,555 crore.

Hindustan Zinc: Mined metal production in Q1 rose 2% year-on-year to 257 kilo tonnes. Saleable steel production remained unchanged at 260 kilo tonnes. Wind power generation was down 13% year-on-year to 130 million units.

Vedanta: Total aluminium production in Q1 of fiscal 2024 rose 2% year-on-year to 579 kilo tonnes. Mined metal output gained 2% from last year to its highest-ever level of 257 kilo tonnes.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing 

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

1. Reports
2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

2. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.