View on market: Volatility Prevails, Market is searching for better value
Japan’s share indices saw early trading on Wednesday in the red as the nation’s industrial production, which had rebounded in December 2023, fell short of expectations. Asian share indices were negatively impacted by overnight declines in tech companies on Wall Street, which followed Microsoft and Alphabet’s earnings results. According to Bloomberg, Japan’s factory output grew 1.8% sequentially in December, less than the 2.5% gain analysts predicted in a Bloomberg survey. As of Tuesday, the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indexes had dropped by 0.68% and 0.06%, respectively. By 0.35%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased.
Economic Calendar:
- USD : Fed Interest Rate Decision on 31st January, 2024
- USD : ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jan) on 31st January, 2024
- INR : Infrastructure Output (YoY) (Dec) on 31st January, 2024
- INR : Indian Union Budget on 01st February, 2024
Brokerage Radar:
MS ON BHARTI AIRTEL: EW, TP Rs 1015; Announces part prepayment of deferred liability for spectrum acquired in 2015 auctions; Believe this will be positive on an NPV basis over tenure of spectrum.; Assuming yield on cash of 6-7%, est. this prepayment could help earnings by 1% for F25
CITI ON AXIS BANK: Buy, TP Rs 1370; Deposit growth (at 4% QoQ) outpaced peers but was dominated by non-retail TDs (up 12% QoQ). Management signaled its focus on containing LDR & anchoring loan growth to deposit accretion. Amidst deposit challenges, tone down advances growth est.
CLSA ON REC: Buy, TP Rs 510; 3Q net profit of Rs33bn up 14% YoY driven by healthy growth in net interest income; Loan growth of 21% YoY strong; Expected negative credit cost in 3Q, but recoveries in one of resolved projects lower 36bp QoQ decline in GNPA is healthy
International Markets:
U.S & Europe:
Particulars | 30th January | Chg. | Chg.(%) |
Nasdaq | 15515.55 | -112.49 | -0.72 |
Dow | 38467.31 | 133.86 | 0.35 |
FTSE | 7666.31 | 33.57 | 0.44 |
CAC | 7677.47 | 36.66 | 0.48 |
DAX | 16972.34 | 30.63 | 0.18 |
Dow Fut.* | 38503.33 | 36.02 | 0.09 |
Asian markets:
Particulars | 31st January | Chg. | Chg.(%) |
GIFT Nifty | 21626.00 | -3.00 | -0.01 |
Nikkei | 35876.96 | -188.90 | -0.53 |
Straits Times | 3151.17 | 1.13 | 0.04 |
Hang Seng | 15540.83 | -162.62 | -1.04 |
Shanghai | 2811.44 | -19.09 | -0.67 |
ADR Watch:
Particulars | 30th January | Chg. | Chg.(%) |
Dr. Reddy | 69.41 | -0.63 | -0.90 |
HDFC Bank | 55.73 | 0.38 | 0.68 |
ICICI Bank | 24.38 | 0.16 | 0.66 |
Infosys | 19.95 | -0.21 | -1.07 |
Wipro | 5.66 | -0.08 | -1.31 |
Commodities & Currency:
Particulars | Current Price | Chg.(%) |
USD/INR | 83.12 | 0.00 |
Brent | 82.12 | -0.46 |
Gold | 2052.35 | 0.07 |
Silver | 23.20 | -0.09 |
FIIs & DIIs:
Particulars | 30th January | 29th January |
FIIs | -1970.52 | 110.01 |
DIIs | 1002.70 | 3221.34 |
News Update:
Tata Consultancy Services: The IT major signed a new 15-year contract with Aviva Plc, expanding on its near-two-decade alliance to service millions of customers of the U.K.’s biggest insurer and pensions provider.
Bharti Airtel: The company announced that it has launched seven new, next-gen company-owned stores in the city of Ahmedabad.
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals: The pharma company collaborated with biotech subsidiary Ichnos Sciences to accelerate new drug discovery in cancer treatment.
Jubilant FoodWorks: The company announced that it has joined the Open Network for Digital Commerce network.
KPI Green Energy: The company’s unit received a new domestic order for a 5 MW solar plant under the captive power producer segment.
UTI AMC: The company approved the reappointment of Imtaiyazur Rahman as managing director and chief executive officer for two years, effective June 13.
Paras Defense and Space Technologies: The company signed a licencing agreement for the transfer of technology with the Instrument Research & Development Establishment and will acquire the technology of a remote control border defence system.
Ganesha Ecosphere: The company opened its QIP to raise Rs 350 crore. The floor price is Rs 995.06 apiece.
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services: The non-banking finance company has reported net profit of Rs 553 crore for the October–December period of FY24, falling 12 percent compared to the year-ago period. Net interest income grew by 10 percent YoY to Rs 1,815 crore, but net interest margin fell 60 basis points to 6.8 percent for the quarter.
Larsen & Toubro: The infrastructure major has recorded 15 percent on-year growth in consolidated net profit at Rs 2,947 crore for the quarter ended December FY24. Consolidated revenue from operations grew by 19 percent year-on-year to Rs 55,128 crore, driven by the ramp-up in execution of the strong order book in the projects and manufacturing portfolio, while EBITDA margin dropped 50 basis points to 10.4 percent for the quarter. L&T received orders worth Rs 75,990 crore at the group level during the quarter, rising 25 percent over a year-ago period aided by strong ordering momentum in the Middle East.
Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing
Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014
Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.
For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)
Disclosure Appendix
Analyst Certification (For Reports)
Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com
The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.
As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:
(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and
(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.
For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.
Research Excerpts
This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.
Company-Specific Disclosures
Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.
Options related research:
If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in
Other Disclosures
All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.
Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure
Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.
Country Specific Disclosures
India – For private circulation only, not for sale.
Legal Entities Disclosures
Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in
EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:
- Reports
- a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;
(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;
(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;
- Compensation
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;
(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(d) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.
3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL
Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.