Nifty and Bank Nifty took a pause from the recent upsurge; Short-term trend remains up

NIFTY:

NIFTY closed at 21731.40 with a loss of 47.30 points or 0.22% down; The AUTO outperformed and closed with a gain of 1.14% followed by FMCG, METAL, and REALTY. OIL GAS underperformed and ended with a loss of nearly 1% followed by IT and BANK. THE NIFTY took a pause from its higher closing streak of five trading days and ended the day with a marginal loss. Except for HDFC BANK and LT, the rest of the eight stocks from the top 10 have ended lower and led the bears. The intraday movement was very volatile and prices have seen alternate swings of about 80 points multiple times. Moreover, the intraday range was again very narrow, about 94 points less than yesterday. The short-term trend is up and there is no doubt about it. The index broke its higher closing streak of five days and closed lower. Moreover, prices have recorded back-to-back 7 days, suggesting a sharp move in the next week. The support is now visible around 21250 while there is no resistance as prices move in uncharted territory. Both the trends and momentums have aligned on the upside suggesting higher levels may be ahead.

BANK NIFTY:

BANK NIFTY closed at 48272 with a loss of 192 points; PSU BANKs have underperformed, saw a mild downside move, and closed with a loss of 0.64%. PVT BANKs have also moved lower and closed with a loss of 0.23%. Within the index, in terms of points, HDFC BANK contributed the highest on the upside while ICICI BANK contributed the least. BANK NIFTY took a pause from the recent upside surge and ended on a negative note. The short-term trend is up and there is no doubt about it. Support is visible around 47500 while the recent lifetime high recorded at 48363 or we can round off it to 48500 may act as a resistance. On the weekly timeframe chart, the index closed higher this week and resumed its uptrend after one week of lower closing. We should now look for a buying opportunity only on any dip or consolidation breakout as far as the index is moving above 47500 support..

DERIVATIVE PICKS

Top Delivery Percentage

Upcoming Economic Data

News Updates

• The equity markets finished 2023 on an upbeat note as the benchmark indices Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex hovered near all-time highs, gaining 20 percent and 18 percent, respectively, through the year.

• The central government’s fiscal deficit widened to Rs 9.07 lakh crore in April-November from Rs 8.04 lakh crore in April-October, data released by the Controller General of Accounts on December 29 showed. At Rs 9.07 lakh crore, the fiscal deficit for the first eight months of the current financial year accounts for 50.7 percent of the full-year target of Rs 17.87 lakh crore.

• Gold headed for a weekly gain on the last trading day of the year, as investors doubled down on bets that the Federal Reserve will start to unwind its restrictive stance on monetary policy in 2024. Bullion was steady in early Asia hours, after edging lower in the previous session as Treasury yields rose from multi-month lows following a US debt auction that drew lackluster demand from investors.

Source: Economic Times,  Indian Express, Business Today, Livemint, Business Standard, Bloomberg Quint

Board Meetings

Corporate Action

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

1. Reports
2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

2. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.