Market-View-Feature-Image

View on market: Stay Cautious, be with quality business:

Asian markets opened the week with a mixed message from equity futures with the headwinds from an unexpectedly strong U.S. jobs report and the downing of an alleged Chinese spy balloon that’s aggravated geopolitical tensions. The U.S. stocks halted a three-day advance on Friday in a volatile session that saw equities swerve between modest gains and losses as investors contended with data pointing to a robust labor market. The S&P 500 still notched a weekly gain that took the index to its highest level since August. Indian headline indices resumed their weekly advances and rose on Friday, snapping their previous two-week gains week. At 5:50 a.m., the Singapore-traded SGX Nifty, an early indicator of India’s benchmark Nifty 50, was down 0.22% at 17,800. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year Treasuries was at 3.57%. Crude prices were trading around $80-mark, while Bitcoin stayed put to trade above the $22,500-level.

Economic Calendar:

  • USD : Fed Chair Powell Speaks on 07th February, 2023
  • USD : Initial Jobless Claims on 09th February, 2023
  • INR : Interest Rate Decision on 08th February, 2023
  • INR : Manufacturing Output (MoM) on 10th February, 2023

Q3FY23 Results Today: Tata Steel, Adani Transmission, LIC Housing Finance, Muthoot Finance, Hitachi Energy India, Sansera Engineering, Suven Pharmaceuticals, Tejas Networks, Action Construction Equipment, Balaji Amines, Bls International Services, Easy Trip Planners, Fairchem Organics, Honda India Power Products, Huhtamaki India, Indo Count Industries, Infibeam Avenues, JK Paper, Kolte-Patil Developers, KPR Mill, Mold-Tek Packaging, Monte Carlo Fashions, Nuvoco Vistas Corporation, Shankara Building Products, Shree Global Tradefin, SJVN, Tasty Bite Eatables, TCPL Packaging, Unichem Laboratories, Uniroyal Marine Exports, Varun Beverages, Vinati Organics, V-Mart Retail, Wardwizard Innovations & Mobility

Brokerage Radar:

CLSA ON BOB: Upgrade to Buy, TP Rs 210; 3Q strong, with c.22% YoY loan growth, negligible net slippage & a core margin beat. Adjusted for 20bp 1off in 2Q, its core margin improved 25-30bps QoQ; Adani group loan is Rs54bn (5.3% of FY24 net worth)

JPM ON SBI: OW, TP Rs 720; 3Q net profit (Rs142bn; +68% y/y; ROE: 18%) beat Street expectations by 8%; 3Q delivered across all metrics – NIMs (+18bps q/q), loan growth (+18% y/y) & asset quality (21bps net slippage); Core PPOP up 24% y/y & better than most prvt. bks

JPM ON M&M FIN: Neutral, TP Rs 230; 3Q net income 22% ahead of JPMe on lower opex & credit cost; Lower opex seems temporary aided by RBI restrictions on collections in 3Q which were subsequently lifted; Co announced Mr Rebello will take over from Mr Iyer in Apr’24

International Markets:

U.S & Europe

Particulars 03rd February Chg. Chg.(%)
Nasdaq 12006.96 -193.86 -1.59
Dow 33926.01 -127.93 -0.38
FTSE 7901.80 81.64 1.03
CAC 7233.94 67.67 0.94
DAX 15476.43 -32.76 -0.21
Dow Fut.* 33843.00 -83.00 -0.24

Asian markets

Particulars 06th February Chg. Chg.(%)
SGX Nifty 17827.50 -12.50 -0.07
Nikkei 27801.97 292.51 1.05
Straits Times 3390.61 6.32 0.19
Hang Seng 21191.54 -468.93 -2.16
Shanghai 3237.05 -26.36 -0.81

ADR Watch:

Particulars 03rd February  Chg.       Chg.(%)
Dr. Reddy 53.09 -0.74 -1.37
HDFC Bank 67.48 0.38 0.57
ICICI Bank 20.81 -0.12 -0.57
Infosys 19.28 -0.23 -1.18
Wipro 4.99 -0.10 -1.96

Commodities & Currency

Particulars Current Price Chg.(%)
USD/INR 81.83 -0.44
Brent 80.16 0.28
Gold 1885.75 0.49
Silver 22.410 0.02

FIIs & DIIs:

Particulars 03rd February 02nd February
FIIs                           -932.44 -3065.35
DIIs 1264.74 2371.36

News Update:

Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports and SEZ and Ambuja Cements: The three stocks will be under the NSE’s short-term additional surveillance measure or ASM starting Feb. 6. From Monday, the applicable margin on the three stocks will be 50% or existing margin, whichever is higher, subject to maximum rate of margin capped at 100%, the NSE circular had said.

Vodafone Idea: The government will convert the company’s AGR dues into equity. Vodafone Idea has been directed to issue 16.13 million equity shares of face value Rs 10 each at an issue price of Rs 10 each.

Adani Power: The company confirmed that its subsidiary, Adani Power (Jharkhand), has received a communication from Bangladesh Power Development Board to consider a discount on the energy charge, but it is not considering any amendment to the power purchase agreement.

Bajaj Finserv: Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Co., a material subsidiary of the company, analysing the potential impact of the Budget recommendation to tax proceeds from non-linked policies with annual premium over Rs 5 lakh.

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services: Appointed COO Raul Rebello as MD& CEO-Designate. He will assume the position after Ramesh Iyer, the current vice chairman & managing director of the company, superannuates on April 29, 2024.

Bank of Baroda: RBI fined the bank Rs 30 lakh over violation of norms related to deposit interest rates and KYC.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.
For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)
Disclosure Appendix
Analyst Certification (For Reports)
Israil Khan, Elite Wealth Limited, suhail@elitewealth.in
The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.
As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:
(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and
(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.
For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.
Research Excerpts
This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.
Company-Specific Disclosures
Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or emailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.
Options related research:
If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in
Other Disclosures
All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.
Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure
Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.
Country Specific Disclosures
India – For private circulation only, not for sale.
Legal Entities Disclosures
Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone:011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in
EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:
1. Reports
a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;
(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;
(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;
2. Compensation
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;
(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(d) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report.
3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL