Market View 25th August 2023

View on market: Volatility Prevails, Market is searching for better value

Bond yields increased as traders went over statements made by a plethora of Federal Reserve officials, while Asian markets were expected to decline after a selloff on Wall Street. Investors anticipate Jerome Powell’s speech for hints on the direction of interest rates. Losses on the Nasdaq 100 exceeded 2%, while equity futures for Japan, Hong Kong, and Australia indicated drops as the S&P 500 nearly erased its weekly gain. Early Asian trade saw no change in U.S. futures. While everything was going on, West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude were both selling for less than $79 a barrel. The yield on a 10-year US bond was 4.24%, and the price of Bitcoin was above the 26,000 mark. At 5:28 a.m., the GIFT Nifty, an early indicator of the Nifty 50 Index’s performance in India was down 76 points or 0.39% at 19,317.

Economic Calendar:

• USD : Fed Chair Powell Speaks on 25^th Aug, 2023
• USD : JOLTs Job Openings (Jul) on 29^th Aug, 2023
• INR : FX Reserves, USD on 25^th Aug, 2023
• INR : GDP Quarterly (YoY) (Q1) on 31^st Aug, 2023

Brokerage Radar:

JEFFERIES ON GRAPHITES ELECTRODES: HEG – Buy, TP Rs 2170; Graphite – Buy, TP Rs 515; HEG/GRIL are export-oriented plays (70%/50% of sales), benefiting from rising adoption of EAF. HEG’s Q1 beat JEFe, but GRIL missed due to impact of inventory write-down on EBITDA

CLSA ON RIL: Buy, TP Rs 3050; QIA picks up 1% stake for US$1bn, valuing retail biz @ $100bn; Val almost doubled in 3 yrs; More investors, if this is a wider second round of stake sale, will validate this valuation & act as a soft floor for RIL stock

NOMURA ON SUN PHARMA: Buy, TP Rs 1313; Deuruxolitinib patent held invalid; no impact; Have est. peak sales in excess of $500n, & DCF value of asset at $400m (with sales touching $800m by FY37F when patent expires); Have yet to factor in any rev upside from deuruxolitinib in est.

International Markets

U.S & Europe:

Asian markets:

ADR Watch:

Commodities & Currency:

FIIs & DIIs:

News Update:

Bharat Electronics: The Ministry of Defence has granted ‘Acceptance of Necessity’ for the procurement and installation of an electronic warfare suite on Mi-17 V5 helicopters. The EW suite will be procured from BEL.

Bharti Airtel: The telecom giant gained 14.1 lakh mobile users during June and ended the month with a wireless subscriber base of 37.4 crore, according to TRAI data.

Vodafone Idea: The company lost 12.9 lakh subscribers in the wireless category as its mobile subscriber base shrank to 22.9 crore, according to TRAI data.

Reliance Industries, EIH: RIL and Oberoi Hotels and Resorts will jointly manage three properties across India and the UK. Properties include Anant Vilas in Mumbai, Stoke Park in the UK, and a new project in Gujarat. Reliance Jio added the maximum number of mobile subscribers at about 22.7 lakh, taking its wireless subscriber tally to 43.9 crore users in June, according to TRAI data.

Shoppers Stop: The company’s MD and CEO, Venu Nair, has resigned effective Aug. 31 due to personal reasons. Homestop chief Kavindra Mishra has been promoted as executive director and CEO for a period of three years, effective Sept. 1.

DB Realty: The company sold its entire stake in unit Royal Netra Constructions for Rs 2.55 crore to Man Infraconstruction and Platinumcorp Constructions.

Garden Reach: The company signed an MoU with DEMPO Group, Goa, to launch a collaboration model to build commercial vessels in their shipyards in Goa and Bhavnagar, Gujarat.

Astra Microwave Products: The company got orders worth Rs 158 crore from ISRO, DRDO, and DPSU for the supply of satellite sub-systems, airborne radar, sub-systems of radar, and EW projects.

Granules India: The drugmaker received approval from the Brazilian Health Regulatory Agency (ANVISA) for compliance with the guidelines of Good Manufacturing Practices for its Bonthapally API facility, Hyderabad, and an Accreditation Certificate of Foreign Drug Manufacturer from the Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency (PMDA), Japan, for its Jeedimetla API facility, Hyderabad.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing 

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

1. Reports
2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

2. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.