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View on market: Volatility persists, eagerly searching for growth

Global markets turned cautious in early Asian trading after former U.S. President Donald Trump unexpectedly called for the evacuation of Tehran. His statement, made during the G7 summit in Alberta, raised fresh concerns of a larger conflict in the Middle East. This came as a surprise, especially after Trump’s earlier comments suggesting Iran was open to negotiations. The uncertainty caused a shift in market sentiment, which had recently stabilized on hopes the Israel-Iran tensions would not escalate further. Asian and global equity markets reacted nervously. U.S. futures declined, and oil prices rose sharply as fears of potential supply disruptions resurfaced. Prior to this, oil prices had been falling due to hopes that Middle East tensions would not affect production. Back home, Indian markets ended positively on Monday, breaking a brief losing streak, helped by domestic optimism. The U.S. market remained mixed on Monday. Investors were cautious ahead of key economic data and the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Defensive stocks saw mild gains, while tech and energy shares fluctuated due to geopolitical concerns.

Economic Calendar:

  • USD: Export and Import Price Index (MoM) (May) on 17th June 2025.
  • IND: Bank Loan and Deposit growth rate on 20th June 2025.
  • USD: Monetary Policy on 18th June 2025.
  • IND: Foreign Reserves  on 20th June 2025.

IPO Watch:

Company Open Close Price View
Oswal Pumps Limited June 13 June 17 584-614 May Apply
Arisinfra Sol Ltd June 18 June 20 210-222 Under Review

Brokerage Radar:

GOLDMAN SACHS ON KPIT TECHNOLOGIES:

Maintain Neutral with target price of Rs 1,280, Macro pointing to H2 pickup in Auto ER&D, Caresoft expected to become EPS accretive in H2FY26/FY27E, Hybrid vs EV debate not presently cannibalizing KPIT opportunity set, Stable margin expectations in near term.

CITI ON MAX LIFE:

Initiate Buy with target price of Rs 1,840, On Track to Deliver Sustainable 17-18% Operating ROEV, Positioned well to gain market share, Diversified product and channel strategy, Operating RoEV to remain strong.

GOLDMAN SACHS ON BSE:

Maintain Neutral; Hike target price to Rs 2,490 from Rs 2,110, Options trading volume and expiry day decision key catalysts, Volatility and its relationship with options trading is difficult to predict, BSE’s reliance on this income stream at 60% is quite elevated.

MORGAN STANLEY ON TATA MOTORS:

Maintain Equal-weight with target price of Rs 715, Unlike past downcycles, this time JLR is much stronger on all fronts, But earnings turnaround will be gradual and FY26 could see earnings downgrades, MS FY6 EPS estimate is 8% below consensus, FCF is key for low-growth companies.

International Markets:

U.S & Europe:

Particulars     16th  June   Chg. Chg.(%)
Nasdaq 19,677.57 270.74 1.40
Dow 42,515.09 317.30 0.75
FTSE 8,875.22 24.59 0.28
CAC 7,742.24 57.56 0.74
DAX 23,699.12 182.89 0.77
Dow Fut.* 42,327.26 -187.83 -0.44

*As per 17th June.

Asian markets:

Particulars   17th  June Chg. Chg.(%)
GIFT Nifty                  24,957 -39.20 -0.16
Nikkei 38,501.08 189.75 0.49
Straits Times 3,920.52 12.26 0.31
Hang Seng 24,021.65 -39.34 -0.16
Shanghai                         3,385.14 -3.59 -0.11

Stocks strong on Chart:

Index F&O Cash
HCLTECH IRFC RALLIS INDIA
JIOFIN IREDA CEAT
INFOSYS PNB BEML
WIPRO LUPIN MAX ESTATE
BEL PFC NIPPON AMC
TCS RECLTD MINDACORP

Commodities & Currency:

Particulars Current Price Chg.(%)
USD/INR 86.114 0.34
Brent 74.31 1.47
Gold 99,789 -0.49
Silver 106,746 0.24

FIIs & DIIs:

Particulars        16th June        13th June
FIIs                          -2,539.42 -1,263.52
DIIs 5,780.96 3,041.44

News Updates:

Tata Consultancy Services: Has partnered with the council of Europe Development Bank to transform reconciliation processes.
HCL Technologies: The company in its agreement with E.ON to accelerate product-based transformation.
Mphasis: It is in an agreement with Sixfold to strengthen insurance underwriting capabilities.
State Bank of India: The bank’s shareholders approved raising funds in the current fiscal. The board proposed to raise $3 billion.
Jindal Steel and Power: The board approved the change in name of the company to ‘Jindal Steel’ from ‘Jindal Steel and Power.
Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing

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