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View on market: Volatility Prevails, Market is searching for better value

Early on Wednesday, the markets in the Asia-Pacific area increased, following the lead set by the US stock market’s overnight surge. Additionally, traders are anxiously awaiting the release of the US CPI print for April later today, as it will offer new insights into the Federal Reserve’s future policies. At 06:35 a.m., the Nikkei 225 was up 280.31 points, or 0.73%, at 38,636.37, while the S&P ASX 200 was up 41.90 points, or 0.54%, at 7,768.70. At 2,730.34, the KOSPI was 3.13 points, or 0.11%, higher. Due to the big-tech rise on Tuesday, Wall Street’s share indices closed higher, shrugging the data from the Producer Price Index. As of Tuesday, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 Index had both increased by 0.75% and 0.48%, respectively.

Economic Calendar:

  • USD : CPI (YOY) on 15th May, 2024
  • USD : Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr) on 15th May, 2024
  • INR : Exports (Apr) on 15th May, 2024
  • INR : Trade Balance on 15th May, 2024

Brokerage Radar:

JEFFERIES ON HINDALCO: Buy, TP raised to Rs 810; Novelis’ 4Q EBITDA rose 28% YoY(+13% QoQ) & inline; Vol grew 2% YoY while EBITDA/t rose 8% QoQ to $540, Raise FY25-26E EPS by 2-3%; Vals reasonable at 6.1x FY25E EV/EBITDA

CITI ON MARICO: Buy, TP raised to Rs 610; 4Q In-line; Pricing Action to Drive Growth Expect trajectory to improve in FY25E:

a)vol growth acceleration

b)pricing-led growth

NOMURA ON LUPIN: Buy, TP Rs 1949; 4Q: EBITDA 8% higher than est. Co expects stronger FY25 (vs FY24) driven by growth across key geographies & improvement in EBITDA margins; Think US product launches & a tight leash on costs could present upside potential to current earnings est.

International Markets:

U.S & Europe:

Particulars 14th May Chg. Chg.(%)
Nasdaq 16511.18 122.94 0.75
Dow 39558.11 126.60 0.32
FTSE 8428.13 13.14 0.16
CAC 8225.80 16.52 0.20
DAX 18716.42 -25.80 -0.14
Dow Fut.* 39560.72 2.61 0.01

Asian markets:

Particulars 15th May Chg. Chg.(%)
GIFT Nifty 22360.50 46.00 0.21
Nikkei 38491.15 135.09 0.35
Straits Times 3296.00 -17.35 -0.52
Hang Seng 19073.71 -41.35 -0.22
Shanghai 3138.99 -6.78 -0.22

ADR Watch:

Particulars 14th May  Chg.       Chg.(%)
Dr. Reddy 69.67 -0.21 -0.30
HDFC Bank 55.95 0.05 0.09
ICICI Bank 26.90 0.00 0.00
Infosys 16.95 0.03 0.18
Wipro 5.41 0.05 0.93

Commodities & Currency:

Particulars Current Price Chg.(%)
USD/INR 83.49 -0.01
Brent 83.05 0.81
Gold 2363.50 0.15
Silver 28.81 0.37

FIIs & DIIs:

Particulars 14th May 13th May
FIIs                          -4065.52 -4498.92
DIIs 3527.86 3562.75

News Update:

MSCI May Review: MSCI Inc. has added 13 Indian stocks to its Global Standard Index under quarterly review for May.

Mahindra & Mahindra: The company arm Mahindra Holdings sold the entire 30.8% stake in the New Delhi Centre for Sight for Rs 425 crore.

Aurionpro Solutions: The Board recommended a bonus issue in the ratio of 1:1.

The New India Assurance: The company appointed Vimal Kumar Jain as CFO and Pooran Kumar Tulsiani as CIO.

Bigbloc Construction: The company announced a temporary shutdown of the Umargam plant for 45–60 days.

Bharti Airtel: Recorded a 31.1 percent on-year decline in consolidated net profit at Rs 2,072 crore for the quarter ended March FY24, due to an exceptional loss of Rs 2,455.5 crore (against nil in Q4 FY23). Revenue from operations grew by 4.4 percent year-on-year to Rs 37,599 crore and was impacted by currency devaluation in Africa. Consolidated EBITDA at Rs 19,590 crore increased by 4.2 percent over the corresponding period of the previous fiscal, with the margin falling 12 bps YoY at 52.1 percent. Average revenue per user (ARPU) for the quarter was Rs 209, against Rs 193 in the year-ago period.

Colgate Palmolive (India): Recorded a net profit of Rs 379.8 crore for the March FY24 quarter, growing 20.1 percent over the corresponding period of the previous fiscal year, with strong growth in topline as well as operating numbers. Revenue from operations increased by 10.3 percent year over year to Rs 1,490 crore. Meanwhile, the board has declared an interim dividend of Rs 26 per share and a one-time special dividend of Rs 10 per share.

Shree Cement: Recorded a 21 percent on-year growth in net profit at Rs 662 crore for the quarter ended March FY24, with robust growth in operating numbers. Revenue from operations grew by 7 percent year-on-year to Rs 5,101 crore, with sales volume increasing by 8 percent to 9.53 million metric tons during the quarter. On the operating front, EBITDA jumped 49 percent to Rs 1,327 crore, which is the highest ever, with a margin expansion of 740 bps at 26 percent for Q4 FY24.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing 

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

  1. Reports
  2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

  1. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing 

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.

For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)

Disclosure Appendix

Analyst Certification (For Reports)

Kiran Tahlani, Elite Wealth Limited, kirantahlani@elitestock.com

The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.

As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:

(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and

(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.

Research Excerpts

This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.

Company-Specific Disclosures

Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.

Options related research:

If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in

Other Disclosures

All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.

Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure

Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.

Country Specific Disclosures

India – For private circulation only, not for sale.

Legal Entities Disclosures

Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in

EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

  1. Reports
  2. a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;

(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

  1. Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;

(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;

(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.

3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL

Provided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.