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India’s economy is expected to sustain a solid growth trajectory of 6.5% annually through 2027, according to Moody’s Ratings. The outlook reflects the country’s ongoing infrastructure expansion, strong domestic consumption, and stable macroeconomic foundation.

Moody’s notes that India’s medium-term economic momentum continues to be shaped by high government-led capital expenditure, especially across transport, logistics, and energy. These investments are helping build long-term capacity while supporting near-term job creation.

Infrastructure and Consumption Remain Key Growth Engines

Government spending on infrastructure continues to rise, strengthening core sectors such as highways, renewable energy, ports, and railways. This sustained public investment is helping drive economic activity, supported further by a steady increase in household consumption. Moody’s highlights that domestic demand remains the central pillar of India’s growth story.

Private Investment Yet to Gain Full Traction

While certain sectors—including digital services, retail, and consumer-facing industries—are seeing renewed interest, broad-based private capital expenditure remains cautious. Moody’s attributes this hesitation to ongoing global uncertainties and elevated borrowing costs, which are causing companies to delay large-scale capacity expansions.

Stronger Employment and Productivity Gains

The infrastructure push is also generating significant employment, particularly in construction and related industries. As India expands urban networks, transport corridors, and energy systems, demand has risen for both skilled and semi-skilled workers. This trend is expected to bolster per-capita income levels and improve overall productivity over the coming years.

Macroeconomic Stability Strengthening Outlook

India continues to benefit from relatively controlled inflation, a stable currency, and prudent monetary policy by the Reserve Bank of India. These factors collectively reinforce a stable macroeconomic environment that supports the projected growth rate of 6.5% through 2027.

Summary

Moody’s projects India’s GDP to grow at a steady 6.5% annually till 2027, driven by strong infrastructure investment and resilient domestic consumption. While private-sector capex is still muted, public spending is supporting job creation and productivity gains. Stable inflation, a steady currency, and balanced monetary policy further underpin the country’s positive medium-term growth outlook.

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