
Summary:
Investor sentiment towards emerging markets (EMs) is showing signs of recovery, with capital flows expanding across multiple regions. According to EPFR Global, India-focused equity funds posted their first inflow in five weeks, while diversified EM funds also attracted fresh allocations—often seen as an early indicator of a broader risk-on sentiment.
India Sees Inflows After Five Weeks
- India-focused funds reversed a streak of five consecutive weeks of outflows, marking a positive shift in sentiment.
- The turnaround comes amid resilient macroeconomic indicators and strong equity market performance.
- According to Cameron Brandt, Director of Research at EPFR Global, the trend suggests renewed investor appetite for India, even as global markets remain cautious.
Broader EM Flows Pick Up
- Diversified emerging market funds have continued to attract inflows, a sign that investors may be slowly repositioning for risk.
- Historically, such inflows are seen as a precursor to broader participation across EM equities.
- While China has seen some renewed interest, inflows remain modest and well below historical highs.
Pressure on Ex-China and Developed Market Funds
- In contrast, ex-China EM funds, which gained significant traction last year, are struggling to attract fresh allocations despite fund launches.
- In the US, equity funds remain in inflow territory but lag the strong rebound seen in major indices over the summer.
- Europe briefly paused fund rotation but has now returned to positive inflows. Still, investor caution persists given uncertainty around:
- Fiscal stimulus policies
- Ongoing Ukraine conflict
- Rising bond yields
Disclaimer:
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