Morning-Outlook-Feature-Image

morning-outlook-7jan

NIFTY:

The NIFTY opened at 18008.05 without much of a gap. The index initially moved higher but soon faced strong resistance and turned down after recording its intraday high at 1804740. Prices have seen a sharp intraday decline and went below 17800. The index started a consolidation process and eventually broke on the upside after recording its intraday low at 17795.55. Prices have seen a sharp recovery in the last two hours of trading and finally closed at 17859.45 with a loss of 132.70 points or 0.74% down. All the sectoral indices have closed lower today except FMCG which ended with marginal gains. IT underperformed today and ended with a loss of 2% followed by BANK, FINANCIAL, and METAL. On the weekly timeframe chart, the NIFTY closed lower after seeing a pullback last week. For the last three weeks, the index has been finding support around 17780. A breakdown below this level may lead prices towards 17000 support. The short-term trend is down now as the index closes below the 18000 support level. However, after three days of sharp fall, it is possible that the index may consolidate or even see a relief rally. For this reason, we are advising traders to avoid trading the index for the next couple of days. We may get a trading opportunity next week after Monday.

BANK NIFTY:

The BANK NIFTY opened at 42649.70 without much of a gap. The index initially consolidated and then broke on the downside after recording its intraday high at 42685.90 in its initial trades. Prices then saw a steep fall and recorded its intraday low at 41877. The index has seen some recovery in the last two hours of trading and finally closed at 42218 with a loss of 397 points. PVT and PSU BANK both indices have performed almost the same today saw a sharp decline and closed lower by 1.12% &0.84% respectively. Within the index, in terms of points, BANDHAN BANK contributed the highest on the upside while ICICI BANK contributed the least. The decline continued for the third consecutive trading day in the BANK Index. Today’s intraday movement was almost the same as yesterday’s. The index came to lose to its previous swing low recorded around 41570. We have mentioned a trading range of 1000 inside 42500-43500. Prices have broken down decisively and closed well below the 42500 support levels. The short-term trend is down now. After three days of sharp decline, it is possible that the index may take a pause or consolidate or even see a relief rally. As of now, we should avoid trading the index for the next couple of days.

TECHNICAL PICKS

COMPANY NAME CMP B/S RATIONALE
BRITANNIA 4359.05 BUY The stock has about to give a breakout on the intraday as well as the daily chart. The stock can be bought above 4370.20 with a stop loss of 4339.95 and a target of 4445.
MCX 1444 SELL The stock has given a breakdown on the intraday as well as the daily chart. The stock can be sold at 1434.50 with a stop loss of 1466.65 and a target of 1369.10.

DERIVATIVE PICKS

Stock Name Strike Price Buy/Sell CMP Initiation Stop Loss Target Remarks
HDFC 2560 PE BUY 20.70 CMP 15.70 31 BREAKDOWN
Long Buildup Short Buildup
Stocks Price Price% OI % OI Stocks Price Price% OI % OI
GNFC.23.01 Jan 591.2 2.88 8.69 8160100 LICHSGFIN.23.01 Jan 405.6 -3.86 0.7 12924000
MRF.23.01 Jan 92869.95 1.96 3.96 53510 DABUR.23.01 Jan 554.3 -3.47 2.84 12240000
HINDPETRO.23.01 Jan 250.8 1.44 0.21 20185200 TCS.23.01 Jan 3211.5 -3.01 3.95 9967650
BALKRISIND.23.01 Jan 2210.15 1.09 1.66 1929900 ABCAPITAL.23.01 Jan 145.75 -2.9 0.35 35969400
M&M.23.01 Jan 1271.2 1.03 6.5 12555200 BSOFT.23.01 Jan 284.75 -2.88 1.95 8774000
                                                                        Short Covering                                                                       Long Unwinding
Stocks Price Price% OI % OI Stocks Price Price% OI % OI
ASTRAL.23.01 Jan 2070.85 2.48 -1.63 1679150 APOLLOTYRE.23.01 Jan 329.2 -2.96 -8.09 13685000
HAVELLS.23.01 Jan 1194.85 1.97 -0.71 4825500 IBULHSGFIN.23.01 Jan 140.55 -2.87 -5.32 41748000
ABB.23.01 Jan 2852 1.36 -4.41 1732750 INDUSINDBK.23.01 Jan 1188.5 -2.58 -1.53 23385150
CUMMINSIND.23.01Jan 1426.1 1.22 -2.18 1535400 L&TFH.23.01 Jan 87.25 -2.13 -1.73 60924148
IOC.23.01 Jan 80.5 1.13 -1.26 81812250 MANAPPURAM.23.01Jan 119.15 -2.1 -0.96 45942000

TOP DELIVERY PERCENTAGE

Stocks Price %Chg Total Qty Delivery Del % % Change
Sectors Price Change % Quantity
Crompton Greaves Consume 337.65 -0.34 1142463 730085 80.48 Nifty50 17859.45 -0.74 24911887
Infosys Limited 1448.5 -1.81 6443714 4527609 76.79 Niftybank 42188.8 -0.99 10535624
Hdfc Ltd. 2596 -0.98 1813292 1248418 75.27 Nifty it 27956.45 -2 994963
Havells India Limited 1192.5 2.18 1198621 409738 73.5 India Vix 15.02 0.27 295689510
Icici Bank Ltd. 870.1 -1.03 14804613 10880703 72.19 Nifty Fmcg 44412.85 0.03 354223
Hcl Technologies Ltd. 1032.8 -1.08 1887689 1397403 71.54 Nifty Pharma 12654.95 -0.77 35151168
Power Grid Corporation o 208.1 -0.34 8632854 6424875 70.57 Nifty Realty 425.85 -0.66 1045114690
Page Industries Limited 41710.15 -1.4 16269 7381 70.43 Nifty Auto 12627.8 -0.23 35335602
Reliance Industries Ltd 2536.9 0.91 2930338 1277644 69.89 Nifty Metal 6697.3 -0.95 66290772
Larsen & Toubro Limited 2086.55 -0.04 1877917 975325 68.32 Nifty Financial Services 18603.75 -0.95 4509587

UPCOMING ECONOMIC DATA

   Domestic                                                                                                                                                  International
INR: Manufacturing Output (MoM) (Nov) on 12th  January, 2023

INR: CPI (YoY) (Dec) on 12th  January, 2023

 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks on 10th  January, 2023

USD: Crude Oil Inventories on 11th  January, 2023

NEWS UPDATES

  • The Indian benchmark indices fell in trade on Friday and declined for the third consecutive day for the first time in the new year. On a weekly basis, the indices fell by more than 1% in the first week of 2023. The S&P BSE Sensex closed down 453 points or 0.75% at 59,900.37, while the NSE Nifty 50 was 133 points or 0.74% lower at 17,859.45.

  • Reliance Consumer Products Ltd. and Reliance Retail Ventures Ltd. – have announced an open offer to acquire a 26% additional stake in Lotus Chocolate. The firms will together acquire 33.38 lakh shares of Lotus Chocolate from the open market at a fixed price of Rs 115.50 per share, said a notice by DAM Capital, which is managing the offer.

  • The Indian rupee, emerging Asia’s worst performer in 2022, is likely to extend losses in the next fiscal year, according to a top private bank.

  • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on January 6 said that it will issue Sovereign Green Bonds worth Rs 8,000 crore each in two tranches on January 25 and February

Source: Economic Times,  Indian Express, Business Today, Livemint, Business Standard, Bloomberg Quint

BOARD MEETINGS

Company Name Purpose Meeting Date Company Name Purpose Meeting Date
EMERALD Quarterly Results 09-Jan-23 MARSONS Quarterly Results 10-Jan-23
GAL Quarterly Results 09-Jan-23 PRERINFRA Quarterly Results 10-Jan-23
GGL Quarterly Results 09-Jan-23 QUESTCAP Quarterly Results 10-Jan-23
JBFIND Quarterly Results 09-Jan-23 RLF Quarterly Results 10-Jan-23
NAVODAYENT General 09-Jan-23 VISAGAR Quarterly Results 10-Jan-23
QRIL Increase in Authorised Capital;Preferential Issue of shares;General 09-Jan-23 5PAISA Quarterly Results;General 11-Jan-23
RANJEET Preferential Issue of shares 09-Jan-23 AARTECH General 11-Jan-23
TASHIND Quarterly Results 09-Jan-23 ALSTONE Quarterly Results 11-Jan-23
TCS Interim Dividend;Audited Results;Quarterly Results 09-Jan-23 BAJGLOB Quarterly Results 11-Jan-23
TIJARIA Quarterly Results 09-Jan-23 BAZELINTER Employees Stock Option Plan;Increase in Authorised Capital;Preferential Issue of shares;General 11-Jan-23
VISCO Amalgamation;General 09-Jan-23 BNL Quarterly Results 11-Jan-23
AARSHYAM Quarterly Results 10-Jan-23 CAPFIN Quarterly Results;General 11-Jan-23
ATHARVENT Quarterly Results;General 10-Jan-23 GORANIN Quarterly Results 11-Jan-23
EARUM Increase in Authorised Capital;Rights Issue 10-Jan-23 MAHALXSE General 11-Jan-23
EASUN General 10-Jan-23 MARKOLINES Rights Issue 11-Jan-23
EXCEL Quarterly Results;General 10-Jan-23 NATIONSTD Quarterly Results 11-Jan-23
GGPL Quarterly Results;General 10-Jan-23 RESPONSINF General 11-Jan-23
GISOLUTION Quarterly Results 10-Jan-23 RITESHIN General 11-Jan-23
GMPL General 10-Jan-23 SEL Quarterly Results 11-Jan-23
MAGNUM Issue Of Warrants 10-Jan-23 UNIAUTO General 11-Jan-23

CORPORATE ACTION

Company Name Ex-Date Purpose Company Name Ex-Date Purpose
OMKAR 09-Jan-23 E.G.M. VISHNU 13-Jan-23 Stock  Split From Rs.10/- to Rs.2/-
VIVANTA 09-Jan-23 E.G.M. NEWMKTADV 16-Jan-23 E.G.M.
RAJNISH 10-Jan-23 Stock  Split From Rs.2/- to Rs.1/- TCS 16-Jan-23 Interim Dividend
JETFREIGHT 11-Jan-23 Right Issue of Equity Shares SKL 17-Jan-23 E.G.M.
JMCPROJECT 11-Jan-23 Amalgamation KPIGREEN 18-Jan-23 Bonus issue 1:1
PACIFICI 11-Jan-23 Right Issue of Equity Shares HCLTECH 19-Jan-23 Interim Dividend
WELENT 11-Jan-23 Special Dividend – Rs. – 7.5000 DDIL 20-Jan-23 Stock  Split From Rs.10/- to Rs.1/-
INFRATRUST 12-Jan-23 Income Distribution (InvIT) ANGELONE 24-Jan-23 Interim Dividend
INDOWIND 13-Jan-23 Right Issue of Equity Shares GOTHIPL 24-Jan-23 Interim Dividend
SOFTSOL 13-Jan-23 Buy Back of Shares BANARBEADS 30-Jan-23 Interim Dividend

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