Market-View-Feature-Image

View on market: Stay Cautious, be with quality business:

U.S. futures rose and oil dropped sharply on signs that the Biden administration is considering a massive release of crude from U.S. reserves to combat inflation. A slide in Chinese technology stocks weighed on Asia.   Shares weakened in China and Hong Kong following data showing contraction in Chinese manufacturing, while Japan’s equities steadied, with the yen pulling back after two days of gains. Earlier, the S&P 500 closed lower for the first time in five days and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 dropped as talks between Russia and Ukraine stalled.  Reports that Washington is preparing a plan to release roughly a million barrels of oil a day helped reverse a rebound in crude. The news comes ahead of an OPEC+ supply meeting later Thursday, where the cartel is expected to stick with its strategy of a modest output boost in May. Chinese stocks are under pressure as output data reflect the damage of renewed lockdowns in technology and factory hubs. Further denting sentiment, the Securities and Exchange Commission’s chief tamped down speculation that a deal is brewing to keep about 200 Chinese stocks from losing their listings. Meanwhile, China’s central bank vowed to boost confidence and provide more effective support to the economy.  Treasuries added to gains across the curve, while a portion of the curve has pulled out of a brief inversion that raised concerns about an impending recession. The dollar held a retreat.

Economic Calendar:

  • INR: Export Data on 1st April 2022.
  • INR: Forex Reserve on 1st April 2022.
  • USD: Unemployment Rate 1st April, 2022.
  • USD: Private Non Payroll on 1st April, 2022.

Brokerage Radar:

MORGAN STANLEY ON AXIS BANK: OW, TP Rs 930 Proposed price of $2bn (including est equity & excluding integration costs of $0.2bn) implies 18.7x P/E on normalized C20 financials Deal would help strengthen Bk’s franchise & reduce gap vs. peers Managing customer attrition is key.

JEFFERIES ON AXIS BANK: Buy, TP Rs 1040 Buy Citi’s India consumer & wealth biz It lifts credit-card base by 31% & wealth AUM by 42% Axis will pay $1.6bn + invest $450m in capital & $200m in costs — implies 21x PE on normal FY20 profit Churn in staff, clients key risks.

CLSA ON ASHOK LEYLAND: Buy, TP Cut to Rs 138 from Rs 157 Cut earnings estimates as commodity pressures are likely to impact margins in near term. However, remain positive as commercial vehicle volumes are on an upturn.

JEFFERIES ON HINDALCO: Buy, TP Rs 700 Embarking on a growth phase with plans to spend $8bn over next 5 yts Like rising growth focus after 30% debt reduction in last 1.5 years, although find plan for greenfield expansion at Novelis somewhat aggressive.

International Markets:

U.S & Europe:

Particulars 30th Mar Chg Chg(%)
Nasdaq 14,442.28 -177.36 -1.21
Dow 35228.81 -65.38 -0.19
FTSE 7,578.75 41.5 0.55
CAC 6,741.59 -50.57 -0.74
DAX 14,606.05 -214.28 -1.45
Dow Fut.* 35274.8 43.5 0.13

Asian markets:

Particulars 31st Mar Chg. Chg(%)
SGX Nifty 17,532.00 35 0.2
Nikkei 27,977.98 -49.27 -0.18
Straits Times 3,437.93 -4.68 -0.14
Hang Seng 22,084.42 -147.61 -0.66
Shanghai 3,266.43 -0.17 -0.01

ADR Watch:

Particulars 30th Mar Chg. Chg.(%)
Dr Reddy 56.64 -0.19 -0.33
HDFC Bank 61.23 -0.59 -0.95
ICICI Bank 19.01 0.11 0.58
Infosys 24.97 -0.14 -0.56
Tata Motor 28.25 -0.9 -3.09
Wipro 7.85 -0.19 -2.36

Commodities & Currency:

Particulars Current Price Chg(%)
USD/INR 75.91 -0.09
Brent 106.11 -4.77
Gold 1924.50 -0.47
Silver 24.795 -1.27

FIIs & DII:

Particulars 30th Mar 29th Mar
FIIs 1357.47 -801.41
DIIs 1216.00 1161.70

 

News Update:

Nazara Technologies : Subsidiary Nazara Pte Ltd (Nazara Singapore) will invest $2.5 million in BITKRAFT Funds. Out of which $0.875 million will invest upfront while the balance investment amount of $1.625 million will be deployed over a period of three years.

Tata Steel : Tata Steel transferred its entire stake in Tata Steel Special Economic Zone Limited to Tata Steel Utilities and Infrastructure Services for consideration other than cash. The company has executed an asset transfer agreement for the acquisition of itemised assets from Stork Ferro and Mineral Industries Private Limited to produce ferroalloys.

ONGC : The two-day offer for sale issue will close on March 31. The Government of India has decided to exercise the oversubscription option to the extent of additional 9.4 crore equity shares, in addition to 9.4 crore equity shares of the company. Accordingly, the total offer size for sale will be up to 18.8 crore shares or 1.5 percent of the total paid-up equity.

Axis Bank : The bank has acquired Citibank’s India consumer business from Citibank N.A. and the NBFC consumer business from Citicorp Finance (India), as going concerns, without values being assigned to individual assets and liabilities to either business. The bank has executed business transfer agreements with Citibank N.A. and Citicorp Finance (India) on March 30. The cost of acquisition is Rs 12,325 crore.

Max Healthcare : The block deal will happen today. Kayak Investment will sell $500 m worth of shares through a block deal in Max Healthcare.

Mangalam Cement : Promoter Vidula Consultancy Services acquired 2.26 lakh equity shares in the company through open market transactions. With this, its shareholding in the company stands at 9.92 percent, up from 9.1 percent earlier.

Source: Moneycontrol, Livemint,, Bloomberg, Investing 

Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014

Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.
For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)
Disclosure Appendix
Analyst Certification (For Reports)
Israil Khan, Elite Wealth Limited, suhail@elitewealth.in
The analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.
As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:
(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and
(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.
For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.
Research Excerpts
This note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.
Company-Specific Disclosures
Important disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or emailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.
Options related research:
If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.in
Other Disclosures
All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.
Ownership and material conflicts of interest Disclosure
Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.
Country Specific Disclosures
India – For private circulation only, not for sale.
Legal Entities Disclosures
Mr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone:011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.in
EWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:
1. Reports
a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;
(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;
(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;
2. Compensation
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;
(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(d) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report.
3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWL