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View on market: Volatility Prevails, Market is searching for better value

Markets in the Asia-Pacific region showed mixed performance as investors awaited clarity on U.S. trade policies. Japan’s stock index saw slight gains, while South Korea’s market declined. In the U.S., major stock indices closed mostly higher, supported by gains in technology stocks. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended in positive territory, while the Dow Jones remained nearly flat. Investors remained watchful of economic signals and policy developments. Indian stock markets declined for the second consecutive session, with banking stocks leading the losses. The benchmark indices fell to their lowest levels in over a week. Heavyweights in the banking sector, including major private lenders, were the biggest drag on the market. Investor sentiment remained weak amid concerns over economic conditions and global market trends. Overall, markets across regions reflected uncertainty, with traders looking for more clarity on policy direction and economic indicators before making major investment moves.

Economic Calendar:

  • USD: Crude Oil Inventories on 2nd April 2025.
  • IND: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Mar) on 2nd April 2025.
  • USD: Continuing and Initial Jobless Claims on 3rd April 2025.
  • IND: Foreign Reserves (USD) on 4th April 2025.

Brokerage Radar:

GOLDMAN SACHS ON TATA CONSUMER PRODUCTS:

Upgrade to Buy, Raise target price to ₹1,200 from ₹1,040, Poised for strong EPS growth over FY25-27, Expect tea margin recovery with price hikes, Strong innovation and distribution expansion in growth businesses, Lower net interest cost as acquisition debt is paid down, While competitive intensity remains a concern, believe the worst is behind.

NOMURA ON TARIFFS:

Suspect US reciprocal tariff criteria will be broader than just matching current tariffs, If India’s tariff on US imports is 9.5% and the US tariff on Indian imports is 3%, the reciprocal tariff would be 6.5%, India, Thailand, and Brazil among the five most exposed countries.

JP MORGAN ON INDIAN IT SERVICES:

Downgrade HCL Tech from Overweight to Neutral, Downgrade due to weak Q4, soft deal wins, and macro uncertainty, Upgrade Tech Mahindra from Underweight to Neutral, See Tech Mahindra as a self-help margin story, All eyes on FY26 guidance as another modest year beckons, Q4 will see uncertain macro impact.

International Markets:

U.S & Europe:

Particulars     1st  Apr   Chg. Chg.(%)
Nasdaq 17,449.89 150.60 0.87
Dow 41,989.96 -11.80 -0.03
FTSE 8,634.80 51.99 0.60
CAC 7,876.36 85.65 1.09
DAX 22,539.98 376.49 1.67
Dow Fut.* 41,973.41 -16.55 -0.04

*As per 2ndApril.

 Asian markets:

Particulars   2nd  April Chg. Chg.(%)
GIFT Nifty                  23,328.50 6.10 0.03
Nikkei 35,641.66 17.18 0.05
Straits Times 3,949.29 -19.56 -0.49
Hang Seng 23,191.64 -15.20 -0.07
Shanghai                               3,357.29 8.85 0.26

Stocks strong on Chart:

Index F&O Cash
POWERGRID OIL RALLIS INDIA
ONGC IOC CEAT
TVS MOTOR EICHERMOT BEML
COALINDIA BHEL MAX ESTATE
BEL ASHOKLEY NIPPON AMC
HDFCBANK RECLTD MINDACORP

Commodities & Currency:

Particulars Current Price Chg.(%)
USD/INR 85.621 0.06
Brent 74.54 0.07
Gold 90,696 0.21
Silver 99,484 0.02

FIIs & DIIs:

Particulars        1st Apr        28th Mar
FIIs                          -5,901.63               -4,352.82              
DIIs 4,322.58 7,646.49

NEWS UPDATES

ICICI Bank: The bank announced its intention to exit its associate ICICI Merchant Services by divesting its entire 19% stake in the company.
Coal India: Will increase coal prices by Rs 10 per tonne, bringing the price to Rs 20 per tonne, effective April 16. This hike applies to both Non-Coking and Coking Coal.
Shriram Finance: The RBI has approved the acquisition of a 100% stake in Shriram Overseas Investments from Shriram Investments. The company has appointed Parag Sharma as its managing director and chief financial officer.
Tata Steel: Has acquired 1.24 crore shares worth Rs 12.49 crore in the Indian Foundation for Quality Management, increasing its stake in IFQM from 9.09% to 16.66%.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing

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