Market-View-Feature-Image

View on market: Volatility Prevails, Market is searching for better value

On Thursday, Asia-Pacific indexes advanced, after S&P 500 and Nasdaq touched multi-year highs, as traders awaited the release of the September US CPI. This data is essential for the analysis of the future Federal Reserve actions. Wall Street hit fresh record highs, led by the main technology giants, as the market looked positive before the inflation data. On the other hand, India’s benchmark equity indices touched the red zone investing a brief upturn to end lower in the final an hour of trading. These lows brought the herders to the vicinity of Wednesdays worst levels, signifying a gracious market instability due to changing client trends. Lastly, while the larger picture painted the positive trend across the region, India painted a slightly more concerned picture as traders responded to domestic factors and international signals.

Economic Calendar:

  • USD: Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Bank on 10th October 2024
  • IND: Foreign Exchange Reserves (USD) on 11th October 2024.
  • USD: Core PPI (MoM) (Sep) on 11th October 2024.
  • IND: WPI Inflation (YoY) (Sept) on 14th October 2024.

IPO Watch:

Company Open Close Price View
Garuda Constr & Eng Ltd 08-Oct 10-Oct 92-95 Risky

Brokerage Radar:

HSBC ON VARUN BEVERAGES:

Maintain Buy with target price of Rs 780, Equity issuance to further strengthen the balance sheet, QIP amount implies 4% equity dilution, Faster ROIC expansion is possible as value shifts from debt to equity holders.

GOLDMAN SACHS ON GODREJ CONSUMER:

Maintain Buy with target price of Rs 1525, HUL’s soap price increases improve GCPL’s ability to hike prices, HUL has raised prices 5-7% in a number of SKUs in its soap portfolio  Soaps business contributes 35% of GCPL’s India business, Expect GCPL to also follow suit which will gradually lower the margin pressures over next 6 months.

EQUIRUS ON MAS FINANCIAL:

Initiate Long with target price of Rs 401,  Consistent, conservative and compliant – a classic lending model, Shifting towards direct retail channel, geo-diversification,  Aims to double AUM every 2-3 years over the decade, Healthy asset quality trends,  Profitability to remain intact despite business model tweak.

International Markets:

U.S & Europe:

Particulars     9th  Oct   Chg. Chg.(%)
Nasdaq 18,291.62 108.70 0.60
Dow 42,512 431.63 1.03
FTSE 8,243.74 53.13 0.64
CAC 7,560.09 38.77 0.51
DAX 19,254.93 188.46 0.98
Dow Fut.* 42,822 9 0.02

*As per 10th October.

Asian markets:

Particulars   10th Oct Chg. Chg.(%)
GIFT Nifty                  25,198 114 0.45
Nikkei 39,371.15 96.29 0.25
Straits Times 3,609.86 14.18 0.39
Hang Seng 21,042.71 404.25 1.96
Shanghai                               3,244.76 -14.10 -0.43

Stocks strong on Chart:

Index F&O Cash
BPCL ALKEM MAX ESTATE
INFOSYS APOLLO TYRE JIO FINANCE
TECH MAH COFORGE JK LAKSHMI
LT MIND EXIDE BAYER CROP
LUPIN POLYCAB BLUE STAR
M&M TORRENT PHA CEAT

Commodities & Currency:

Particulars Current Price Chg.(%)
USD/INR 83.951 -0.01
Brent 77.01 0.56
Gold 74,967 0.04
Silver 88,975 0.12

FIIs & DIIs:

Particulars        9th Oct        8th Oct
FIIs                          -4,562.71 -5,729.60
DIIs 3,508.61 7,000.68

News Update:

Company

Tata Group: Ratan Tata, the former chairman and chairman emeritus of Tata Sons, passed away on Wednesday at the age of 86. He was a highly respected Indian industrialist.
Adani Enterprises: The company aims to raise $500 million through a share sale, offering approximately 14.2 million shares at an indicative price of Rs 2,962 each. This represents an implied discount of 6.08% to the last closing price.
Patanjali Foods: The company has received approval from the CCI to acquire Patanjali Ayurveda’s home and personal care business.
PNC Infratech It has been declared the L1 bidder for an EPC project, with the item rate percentage awarded to PNC Infratech and AAKSHYA Infra Projects Pvt. Ltd. for Rs 2,090.59 crore.
GR Infraprojects: The company received a letter of acceptance for a project valued at Rs 904 crore from Maharashtra Metro Rail Corp.

Source: Moneycontrol, Bloomberg Quint, Investing Disclosure in pursuance of Section 19 of SEBI (RA) Regulation 2014Elite Wealth Limited does/does not do business with companies covered in its research reports. Investors should be aware that the Elite Wealth Limited may/may not have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only information in making their investment decision and must exercise their own judgment before making any investment decision.For analyst certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.elitewealth.in. Analysts employed by Elite Wealth Limited are registered/qualified as research analysts with SEBI in India.( SEBI Registration No.: INH100002300)Disclosure AppendixAnalyst Certification (For Reports)Vindhyachal Prasad, Elite Wealth Limited, vindhyachal@elitestock.comThe analyst(s) certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I/We also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Elite Wealth Limited.As to each individual report referenced herein, the primary research analyst(s) named within the report individually certify, with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in the report, that:(1) all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and(2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.For individual analyst certifications, please refer to the disclosure section at the end of the attached individual notes.Research ExcerptsThis note may include excerpts from previously published research. For access to the full reports, including analyst certification and important disclosures, investment thesis, valuation methodology, and risks to rating and price targets, please visit www.elitewealth.in.Company-Specific DisclosuresImportant disclosures, including price charts, are available and all Elite Wealth Limited covered companies by visiting https://www.elitewealth.in, or e-mailing research@elitestock.com with your request. Elite Wealth Limited may screen companies based on Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research. For important disclosures for these companies, please e-mail research@elitestock.com.Options related research:If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the risk disclosure documents, please contact your Broker’s Representative or visit the OCC’s website at https://www.elitewealth.inOther DisclosuresAll research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client websites. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your respective broker’s sales person.Ownership and material conflicts of interest DisclosureElite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of Elite Wealth Limited. Analyst as officer or director: Elite Wealth Limited policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, board member or employee of any company in the analyst’s area of coverage.Country Specific DisclosuresIndia – For private circulation only, not for sale.Legal Entities DisclosuresMr. Ravinder Parkash Seth is the Managing Director of Elite Wealth  Ltd (EWL, henceforth), having its registered office at Casa Picasso, Golf Course Extension, Near Rajesh Pilot Chowk, Radha Swami, Sector-61, Gurgaon-122001 Haryana, is a SEBI registered Research Analyst and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 011-43035555, Facsimile: 011-22795783 and Website: www.elitewealth.inEWL discloses all material information about itself including its business activity, disciplinary history, the terms and conditions on which it offers research report, details of associates and such other information as is necessary to take an investment decision, including the following:

  • Reports
  • a) EWL or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;

(b) EWL or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more in the securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance;(c) EWL or its associate or his relative, has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;

  • Compensation

(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;(b) EWL or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;(c) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;(d) EWL  or its associates have not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;(e) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.3 In respect of Public Appearances
(a) EWL or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided by EWLProvided that research analyst or research entity shall not be required to make a disclosure as per sub-clauses (c), (d) and (e) of clause (ii) or sub-clauses (a) and (b) of clause (iii) to the extent such disclosure would reveal material non-public information regarding specific potential future investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services transactions of the subject company.
(4) EWL or its proprietor has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(5) EWL has never been engaged in market making activity for the subject company;
(6) EWL shall provide all other disclosures in research report and public appearance as specified by the Board under any other regulations.