Article-Feature-Image
  • By Elite Wealth
  • / February 8, 2024
  • / Article

India’s Monetary Policy Committee decided to keep the benchmark repo rate unchanged for the sixth straight meet even as food inflation concerns persist while economic activity stays resilient.

The MPC decided:

  • To keep the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% by a 5:1 majority.

  • The standing deposit facility rate, pegged 25 basis points below the repo rate, is at 6.25%.

  • The marginal standing facility rate, which is 25 basis points above the repo rate, is at 6.75%.

Inflation Outlook:

  • Amidst a general slowdown in core inflation, food inflation uncertainties still have an impact on headline inflation.

  • Food Inflation remains volatile and would impact the overall inflation outlook going forward.

  • Rabi Sowing has been favourable.

  • Crude Oil prices remains volatile.

Growth Outlook:

  • Household consumption is predicted to improve with continued improvement of manufacturing activity, buoyancy in construction, and a slow but steady recovery in the rural economy.

  • Urban consumption is still strong due to rising income levels.

  • There is a resurgence in private corporate investments and the drag from external demand is anticipated to lessen as exports increase.

RBI’s GDP and CPI Estimates:

GDP Current Estimates GDP Previous Estimates
FY-25 7.00%  
Q1FY25 7.20% 6.70%
Q2FY25 6.80% 6.50%
Q3FY25 7.00% 6.40%
Q4FY25 9.00%  

 

  CPI Current Estimates CPI Previous Estimates
FY-24 5.40% 5.40%
Q4FY24 5.00% 5.20%
FY-25 4.50%  
Q1FY25 5.00% 5.20%
Q2FY25 4.00% 4.00%
Q3FY25 4.60% 4.70%
Q4FY25 4.70%  

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